PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: <38m
Resolved: Sep 14, 2026, 11:45 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
<38m
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
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Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 14, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
38-41m0%
<38m100%
44-47m0%
<38mWon
38-41mLost
41-44mLost
44-47mLost
47-51mLost
51m+Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
What will be the top 10 movies in the US in 2026 with the greatest opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsWhich movies will have between $50M and $100M in the 2026 US opening weekend (FSS)?
Manifold MarketsWill "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to how much "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
