Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
EntertainmentOne-OffBox Office / Streaming3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 86.6%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 27, 26, 3:34 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the combined domestic (North American) opening weekend gross of Dune: Part Three and Avengers: Doomsday exceeds the combined domestic opening weekend gross of "Barbenheimer" (Barbie and Oppenheimer), which stands at $244,477,464.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Source of Truth: Box office figures will be sourced from Box Office Mojo and The Numbers.
- Barbenheimer baseline:
- Barbie domestic opening weekend: $162,022,044
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 87% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend? resolve?
- Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria