Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
0.1 pts (24h)EntertainmentOne-Off1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Avengers: Doomsday · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
Avengers: Doomsday 98%
Avengers: Doomsday 98%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$4.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
Avengers: DoomsdaySpread
—
Comments
6
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 10:47 PM UTCDec 20, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · Avengers: Doomsday
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will "Dunesday" (Dune 3 and Avengers: Doomsday) outgross Barbenheimer (Barbie and Oppenheimer) on it's opening weekend?
Manifold Markets"Avengers: Doomsday" breaks the record for the biggest opening weekend of all time?
Manifold MarketsAvengers: Doomsday V Dune: Messiah! Which one will "blink"? Both are currently dated Dec 18, 2026 - release date in USA.
Manifold MarketsDune vs Avengers: Highest Rotten Tomatoes Score
KalshiWhich movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Polymarket"The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office
PolymarketRules
the named outcome and the named outcome are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.