Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
0.1 pts (24h)EntertainmentOne-Off3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Avengers: Doomsday 96%+0.1pt
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
3.6% / 4.1%
Spread
0.5 pt
Tight spreadComments
6
7d Change
-1.1 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 10:47 PM UTCDec 20, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketWill Dunesday beat Barbenheimer's opening weekend record?
PolymarketRules
the named outcome and the named outcome are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.