PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityNo 89.1%-0.0pt
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$23.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Nov 7, 25, 8:11 PMNov 19, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes11%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketThis pageBest overall | High | 90% | — | $3.2K | $23.9K | 9 minutes ago | |
 Manifold Markets95% match · verified | — | 79% | — | — | — | 6 days ago | Open → |
Also available on Manifold Markets
Will GTA 6 be postponed again?
3mo
78.5%
21.5%
Community forecast22 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US.
- Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release.
- If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$1.4k91.0%POLYMARKETNoTheEmprah2d ago
POLYMARKETNoTheEmprah2d agoVolume trend
$3.2kJul 228d of dataJul 29
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Rules
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US.
- Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release.
- If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g.