KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: John Malkovich (99%)
Resolved: Sep 12, 2026, 10:23 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 12, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Probability Timeline
Jack O’Connell0%
Domhnall Gleeson3%
Nick Nolte0%
Ben Mendelsohn0%
Scoot McNairy0%
Indiana Affleck0%
Atticus Affleck0%
Missagh Zareh0%
Ramtin Daghigh0%
Adriano Giannini0%
Adrián Fondari0%
Marcelo Chaparro0%
Guy Pearce5%
David Talbot0%
Sharif Andoura0%
Lino Musella0%
Tommaso Ragno0%
Carsten Bjørnlund0%
Thorbjørn Hedegaard0%
Orlando Bloom0%
Kenji Peyran0%
Raphaël Besson0%
Teodor Currentzis0%
Anatoly Vasiliev0%
Masaki Suda0%
Kankuro Kudo0%
Sul Kyung-gu0%
Zo In-sung4%
Steve Buscemi0%
Tom Waits0%
Louis Garrel0%
Hippolyte Girardot0%
Andrea Lattanzi0%
Antonio De Matteo0%
Nanni Moretti0%
Luca Marinelli0%
Melvil Poupaud0%
Micha Lescot0%
Geoffrey Rush0%
Mark Merphy0%
Lily Franky0%
Stephen Graham0%
Paul Dano0%
Patrick Schwarzenegger0%
Robert Pattinson37%
John Malkovich99%
Tie3%
Vincent Lindon5%
John MalkovichWon
Guy PearceLost
Vincent LindonLost
Rodney HicksLost
Javier BardemLost
Robert PattinsonLost
Jack O’ConnellLost
Zo In-sungLost
Sam RockwellLost
Domhnall GleesonLost
TieLost
Nick NolteLost
Ben MendelsohnLost
Scoot McNairyLost
Indiana AffleckLost
Atticus AffleckLost
Missagh ZarehLost
Ramtin DaghighLost
Adriano GianniniLost
Adrián FondariLost
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Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the named outcome wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:La Biennale di Venezia
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Venice Festival .
- Any references to the Venice Festival or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Venice Festival and Kalshi.