KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 100 54%+5.0ptMarket line of 9 lines
Above 100 54%+5.0ptMarket quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$985.7
Open interest
$2.2K
Low open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:00 AM UTCNov 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Paramount+ App Downloads was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 55
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 55 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 70 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 60 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 80
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 80 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 90
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 90 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 100
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 110 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 120
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 120 , then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 155
- If the Carbon Arc Paramount+ App Downloads (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 155 , then the market resolves to Yes.