In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
EntertainmentOne-Off1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53%
Forecasters
4,742
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Feb 20, 23, 10:47 PM UTCJan 2, 28, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsIn early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
Manifold Markets# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
PolymarketOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiRules
EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".
- It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's pretty good.
- The AI doesn't have to be available to the public, as long as it's confirmed to exist.