In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
AIOne-OffEntertainment1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 68.9%
Forecasters
62
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleAug 28, 24, 9:22 AM UTCJan 4, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
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EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".
- It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film script, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's good enough for a director to use without modifications to make a movie.
- Video generation question:
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt? resolve?
- In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt? is scheduled to resolve on January 4, 2028.
- How is In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".