In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
AIOne-OffEntertainment1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 70.1%
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Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 28, 24, 9:22 AM UTCJan 4, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
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In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie from a script?
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PolymarketRules
EG "make me a 120 minute Star Trek / Star Wars crossover".
- It should be more or less comparable to a big-budget studio film script, although it doesn't have to pass a full Turing Test as long as it's good enough for a director to use without modifications to make a movie.
- Video generation question:
- @/SamuelKnoche/in-early-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-lezeyhikb7
- The intention of this question is to tease out what difficulties people expect for this question to resolve Yes:
- @/ScottAlexander/in-2028-will-an-ai-be-able-to-gener