Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
Jack Lowden 41%+4.2ptLeader of 20 outcomes
Jack Lowden 41%+4.2ptForecasters
53
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+26.1 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 6, 23, 2:02 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
KalshiWill Matt Smith be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsWill a sequel to 007 First Light release before 2030? (James Bond game)
Manifold MarketsNext James Bond actor?
PolymarketNext James Bond announced by which date?
PolymarketWho will be the next James Bond?
Manifold MarketsRules
James Bond is a character created by Ian Fleming and is the lead character in a series of films made by Eon Productions.
- He was most recently by Daniel Craig in 2021 but it's rumored that No Time To Die will be Craig's last movie.
- This question will resolve to the name of the actor who plays the character named "James Bond" in the next action film released by Eon films in which there is a character named "James Bond".
- If there is no character named "James Bond" in an action film released by Eon films by EOY 2029, this question will resolve N/A. I will be trading on this market because it resovles by clearly objective sources.
- (Whereas I will not trade on any market I create if the market is subjective.)