Current implied probability
Above 2 41%-1.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$581.1
Liquidity
$23.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
35.0% / 39.0%
Spread
11.4%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PMDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 241%
Volume trend
$581Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.