Current implied probability
Above 2 67%-4.0%Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.8
Liquidity
$157.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
4.5%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Apr 1, 26, 2:00 PMDec 2, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Above 267%
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KALSHIActive in these topics
Rules
If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 0 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the occurrence of the event, or one day after December 01, 2026.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 1 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 3 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 4 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.