Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastIsaias 100%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 26, 3:51 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
[image]Which 2026 tropical cyclone names will be used for hurricanes? That is, many or all of these names will be used for tropical cyclones, which of those will become hurricanes?
- This is specifically about the northern Atlantic hurricane season.
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be the definitive source for determining if a tropical cyclone became a hurricane.
- Each listed name resolves to YES if it becomes a hurricane per the NHC; otherwise NO.
- If a name is not used for any tropical storm in the 2025 North Atlantic season, it resolves NO.