Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastArthur 100%Leader of 21 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 9, 26, 7:28 PM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketHow active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiRules
Each answer will resolve individually as names are used.
- Season ends November 30th
- A tropical cyclone gets a name upon categorization of Tropical Storm
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
- 24h Vol
- $283.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt93.3%
- 89° to 90°-21.0pt2.9%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+52.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt1%
- 92° to 93°-17.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+19.0pt58.1%
- 84° or below26.7%
- 87° to 88°-15.0pt12.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $76.5K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+11.0pt40%
- 83° to 84°-1.0pt18%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt15%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season??
- Manifold Markets prices Arthur at 100% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season? resolve?
- Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season? is scheduled to resolve on November 30, 2026.
- How is Which storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Each answer will resolve individually as names are used.