PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Hawaii · —
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Stored reference
Hawaii 8%Leader of 19 outcomes
Hawaii 8%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$171.2
Liquidity
$43.1K
High liquidityOpen interest
$11.4K
Bid / Ask
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HawaiiSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+2.3 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 8:31 PM UTCDec 8, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
FloridaWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Hawaii
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in a US state (Pacific)?
Manifold MarketsWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market resolves based on whether a hurricane will make landfall in the state specified in the title between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- A market resolves to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in that state within the timeframe, as described in official National Hurricane Center (NHC) advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/); for Hawaii, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center (CPHC) advisories also apply.
- Otherwise, that market resolves to "No".
- A hurricane landfall is said to occur when a hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL) and the NHC reports maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or higher (Category 1 or greater) at the time of landfall.
- The state of landfall is determined by the surface center's location when it crosses the coastline.
- If a single hurricane makes separate landfalls in more than one listed state, each such state resolves to "Yes".