PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 30°C
Resolved: Oct 27, 2026, 2:48 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
29°C14%
33°C0%
30°C78%
28°C4%
31°C0%
27°C0%
32°C0%
24°C or below0%
25°C0%
34°C or higher0%
30°CWon
Before close: 100% ·
24°C or belowLost
Before close: 0% ·
25°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
26°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
27°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
28°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
29°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
31°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
32°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
33°CLost
Before close: 0% ·
34°C or higherLost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 28?
PolymarketLowest temperature in Hong Kong on October 28?
PolymarketHong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 1.4% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Hong Kong Consumer Price Index exceed 0.4% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the annualized growth rate in Hong Kong Real GDP exceed 1% in Q3 2026?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Oct '26.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg.
- C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
- In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
- The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C).
