PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 3,510 54.5%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$12K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 17, 26, 9:49 PM UTCApr 16, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Rules
This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.
- See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms.
- Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.
- The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508.
- USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome.
- Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.
Open markets
Weather
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+28.0pt52.5%
- 80° to 81°39.4%
- 82° to 83°-21.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365.5K
- 24h Vol
- $346.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How low will Lake Powell drop??
- Polymarket prices Above 3,510 at 54.5% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does How low will Lake Powell drop? resolve?
- How low will Lake Powell drop? is scheduled to resolve on April 16, 2027.
- How is How low will Lake Powell drop? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation.