KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1033 Ft 66%-25.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jul 7, 26, 8:00 PM UTCJan 7, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- No
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1033 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Bureau of Reclamation
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1034 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1035 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1036 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1037 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1038 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 23, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+28.0pt52.5%
- 80° to 81°39.4%
- 82° to 83°-21.0pt4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365.5K
- 24h Vol
- $346.7K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 23, 2026?
- Philadelphia+83.0pt99%
- Miami+11.0pt99%
- Washington DC+10.0pt99%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $347.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 23, 2026?
- 82° to 83°+49.0pt52.4%
- 84° to 85°+21.0pt35.2%
- 86° to 87°-26.0pt9.5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 23, 2026?
- 67° to 68°+25.0pt76.2%
- 65° to 66°-8.0pt19.1%
- 69° to 70°-7.0pt1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 23, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+23.0pt56.7%
- 82° to 83°+29.0pt38.1%
- 84° to 85°-1.0pt2.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 23, 2026?
- 65° to 66°+27.0pt62.9%
- 67° to 68°-11.0pt17.1%
- 63° to 64°-1.0pt16.2%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 24?
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- Highest temperature in Dallas on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 24, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 23, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
- Highest temperature in Phoenix on Sep 23, 2026?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 1033 Ft at 66% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? resolve?
- Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 7, 2027.
- How is Lake Mead end-of-month water elevation in Dec 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Lake Mead's end-of-month water elevation at Hoover Dam for Dec 2026 is strictly greater than 1033 feet, then the market resolves to Yes.