In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population?
GeopoliticsOne-OffWeatherMiddle EastManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 68%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 19, 23, 10:57 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will China, Iran, Saudi Arabia, or Russia become a democracy first?
Manifold MarketsHouthi military action against Saudi Arabia on?
PolymarketSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
PolymarketHouthis enter Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketMohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiRules
Resolve to NAN if there are no war between Saudi Arabia and Iran before 2050.
- Running out of water meaning: 1 000 or more people in Saudi Arabia die from lack of water in a single month.
- The war assumes an official declaration of war.
Open markets
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.0pt62%
- October 31-2.5pt37%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $31.1M
- 24h Vol
- $546.1K
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms+0.7pt14%
- Save the Children+1.3pt11%
- Yulia Navalnaya-1.0pt7%
+28 more outcomes
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+2.0pt79.2%
- Yes-2.0pt20.8%
- Total Vol
- $12.6M
- 24h Vol
- $324.3K
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+0.4pt97%
- September 30-1.0pt90%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.3M
- 24h Vol
- $259.4K
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-1.0pt32%
- October 31-5.0pt16%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $7.7M
- 24h Vol
- $109.1K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Total Vol
- $68.4M
- 24h Vol
- $108.1K
- Trump renames AI by September 30?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- US-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 68% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population? resolve?
- In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.
- How is In case of a war with Iran before 2050, will Saudi Arabia runs out of water for its population? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolve to NAN if there are no war between Saudi Arabia and Iran before 2050.