Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 74%Leader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
21
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.1 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleApr 15, 26, 2:46 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceed 0 in November 2026?
ForecastExHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWill 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?
PolymarketHow many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsRules
How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be used to resolve the question.
- Tropical storms do not count.
- Pacific storms do not count. "Major Hurricanes" will count as hurricanes.
- If there is any dispute or ambiguity in the number of hurricanes, the market creator will use best judgement to resolve the question.
- The market closes at midnight ET on December 31, 2026 and will resolve on January 1, 2027.