Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast1 25.8%+1.4ptLeader of 14 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+21.1 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Apr 15, 26, 2:46 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiHow many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
KalshiWhat named storms will be hurricanes in the Eastern Pacific this year?
KalshiIn which US states will hurricanes make landfall this Atlantic season?
Manifold MarketsWhich names will be used for hurricanes in the 2026 Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsRules
How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?
- The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will be used to resolve the question.
- Tropical storms do not count.
- Pacific storms do not count. "Major Hurricanes" will count as hurricanes.
- If there is any dispute or ambiguity in the number of hurricanes, the market creator will use best judgement to resolve the question.
- The market closes at midnight ET on December 31, 2026 and will resolve on January 1, 2027.
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- New York City+68.0pt99%
- Boston+46.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+11.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $297.1K
- 24h Vol
- $283.9K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- 91° or above+29.0pt93.3%
- 89° to 90°-21.0pt2.9%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 10, 2026?
- 90° to 91°+52.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-31.0pt1%
- 92° to 93°-17.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+19.0pt58.1%
- 84° or below26.7%
- 87° to 88°-15.0pt12.4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $76.5K
KALSHIWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Fay+2.0pt37%
- Gonzalo+2.0pt27%
- Hanna+4.0pt16%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Oklahoma City on Sep 10, 2026?
- 85° to 86°+11.0pt40%
- 83° to 84°-1.0pt18%
- 87° to 88°-9.0pt15%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seattle on Sep 10, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?
- Highest temperature in London on September 11?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many Hurricanes in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices 1 at 26% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does How many Hurricanes in 2026? resolve?
- How many Hurricanes in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is How many Hurricanes in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: How many Atlantic Hurricanes will occur in 2026?