PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 13°C
Resolved: Nov 1, 2026, 11:20 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
13°C
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
40%
SurpriseData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
13°C100%
10°C1%
11°C0%
12°C8%
14°C60%
15°C or higher4%
13°CWon
10°CLost
11°CLost
12°CLost
14°CLost
15°C or higherLost
5°C or belowLost
6°CLost
7°CLost
8°CLost
9°CLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature reported at Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on 1 Nov '26.
- The qualifying value is the highest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Paris-Le Bourget Airport (LFPB) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported.
- A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count.
- Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label.
- For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf
- The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits.