KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 85° to 86° (99%)
Resolved: Nov 2, 2026, 1:08 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Winning Outcome
85° to 86°
At 7 days out
—
At 24 hours out
56%
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 2, 2026, 10:06 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
83° to 84°1%
85° to 86°81%
87° to 88°11%
81° to 82°1%
80° or below1%
89° or above1%
85° to 86°Won
83° to 84°Lost
87° to 88°Lost
81° to 82°Lost
80° or belowLost
89° or aboveLost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.
Rules for each outcome
- 85° to 86°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is between 85-86° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 83° to 84°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is between 83-84° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 87° to 88°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is between 87-88° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 81° to 82°
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is between 81-82° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 80° or below
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is less than 81° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 89° or above
- If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Nov 1, 2026, is greater than 88° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.