Selected book midpoint
No · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
No 96%
No 96%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$32K
High liquidityOpen interest
$55.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
6
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 11:21 PM UTCFeb 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · No
Loading selected book…
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
Polymarket10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
- If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
- If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
- After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude.