Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:
https://api.coinrithm.com/api/prediction-markets/events/polymarket/10pt0-or-above-earthquake-before-2027AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:
https://mcp.coinrithm.com/mcp+3 more outcomes
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