Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
0.6 pts (24h)TechOne-OffSpaceScienceGeopolitics4y
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
United States · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
United States Stored bid–ask56.2%–57%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 5 outcomes
United States Stored bid–ask56.2%–57%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$715.9
Open interest
$72.6K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
United StatesSpread
—
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Nov 28, 24, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · United States
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the next country to send a manned flight to the moon
Manifold MarketsWill Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsWho will win the new race to the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
Manifold MarketsRules
If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The New York Times
- If Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) or another US-based company launches a manned mission to the Moon first then the market resolves to Yes for the United States.
Rules for each outcome
- United States
- If United States is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- China
- If China is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- India
- If India is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Russia
- If Russia is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
- European Space Agency
- If European Space Agency is the first country to launch a manned mission to the Moon before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
