Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUSA 56.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
81
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.4 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 12, 23, 1:04 PM UTCJan 1, 33, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
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Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRules
There are many nations and organizations that have plans about going to the Moon.
- And some of the plans are more ambitious than realistic.
- What nationality will the next human to set foot on the moon have?
- This bet will be resolved the day after the event has happened.
- Unsuccessful landings and scrabs does not count.
- The astronauts needs to survive the landing for it to count.
