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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Tech
  3. When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?
When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida?

4.0% (24h)TechOne-OffSpace3mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Oct 1, 2026
Before Oct 1, 2026 12%+4.0%
Leader of 3 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$34

Liquidity

$153.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jun 2, 26, 2:00 AMOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Before Oct 1, 202612%

Rules

If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.