KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before 2027 14%-1.0ptLeader of 3 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$31.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 2:00 AM UTCOct 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
KalshiWhen will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship launch one hundred times by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship first launch or land on Earth with human passengers?
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PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time? · Before 2027-07-01 87%
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida??
- Kalshi prices Before 2027 at 14% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? resolve?
- When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? is scheduled to resolve on October 1, 2026.
- How is When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the SpaceX Starship has launched from Florida the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is When will SpaceX's Starship launch from Florida? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets.