Current implied probability
Yes 61.4%+0.0pt
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 66.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
+6.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:05 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes62%
Volume trend
$40Jul 520d of dataJul 26
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On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.