Selected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 70%
No 70%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$672.1
Low liquidityOpen interest
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 32 minutes ago
Nov 12, 25, 10:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
PolymarketWill China launch and operate a fully reusable spacecraft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025.
- You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.
- For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.