Selected book midpoint
<5 · —
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Stored reference
<5 50%Leader of 8 outcomes
<5 50%Market quality
58 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$36.6
Liquidity
$13.3K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$13.7K
Bid / Ask
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<5Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
+0.1 pts
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 12:45 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · <5
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiStortest gap between two SpaceX Starship launches in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship 15th launch?
KalshiSpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
PolymarketReal banana visible during SpaceX Starship Mars mission broadcast in 2026
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level.
- Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
- However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.