Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
2027 · —
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Stored reference
2027 23%
2027 23%Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$439.8
Liquidity
$31.9K
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2027Spread
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Comments
5
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 54 minutes ago
LaggingMay 14, 26, 5:47 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsWill Lumen Orbit have at least one functioning megawatt-scale data center in space by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill "Pretraining on Aligned AI Data Dramatically R..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWhich states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Futuur — AI data center in space by ...? · December 31, 2027 15%