Current implied probability
2027 16%-0.5pt
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$140
Liquidity
$32K
High liquidityBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 5:47 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Total Vol
- $280.7K
- 24h Vol
- $148.9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $406.5K
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for AI data center in space by which date??
- Polymarket prices 2027 at 16% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does AI data center in space by which date? resolve?
- AI data center in space by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is AI data center in space by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is AI data center in space by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Futuur.