KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2035 26.6%-3.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$22K
Medium liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
May 27, 26, 2:00 PMJan 1, 35, 4:59 AM
Trends
Rules
If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 3, 2026 at 7pm EDT?
- $80,800 or above99%
- $80,700 or above99%
- $80,600 or above99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above+11.0pt99%
- $75,500 or above+16.0pt99%
- $73,500 or above+4.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026?
- 220-239+51.0pt57.8%
- 200-219+1.0pt29.4%
- 240-259+8.2pt10.8%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 3, 2026?
- 78° to 79°+74.0pt95.2%
- 76° to 77°-57.0pt1%
- 80° or above-3.0pt1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-11.0pt80.8%
- OpenAI+9.9pt17.2%
- Google2%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 3, 2026?
- Minneapolis+35.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+19.0pt99%
- New York City+4.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 3, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 3, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 3, 2026?
- Lowest temperature in Denver on Sep 3, 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 4, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2035 at 27% as of September 4, 2026.
- When does Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? resolve?
- Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
- How is Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads is confirmed after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.