Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2037 62.4%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 14, 25, 5:37 PM UTCJan 2, 37, 4:29 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRules
The best worst radio station.
- Multiple market answers can resolve YES, and market answers can also resolve independently over time instead of all at once.
- (This is Date Threshold mode.)
- Market resolves based on the date SexFM radio is broadcasting live again, either through sexfm.live or by some other means and confirmed by the original creator(s).
- (We're using ET timezone if it's somehow relevant.) New videos being added to the archive do not count.
- The context (26 min video): https://youtu.be/cMOUp_XpblM?si=z1SswNq-SdK7QGeh
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $398.4K
- 24h Vol
- $106K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $212.1K
- 24h Vol
- $105.5K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+7.0pt45%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
- Callum Turner-5.0pt18%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+24.1pt46.2%
- No Bond chosen-1.5pt19.8%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $307.5K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-51.0pt16%
- Above 408%
- Above 50-57.0pt7%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $99.8K
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will SexFM radio go live again??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2037 at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will SexFM radio go live again? resolve?
- When will SexFM radio go live again? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2037.
- How is When will SexFM radio go live again? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The best worst radio station.