Current community forecast
No 83.3%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 25, 9:26 PM UTCDec 31, 32, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia and China have an operational nuclear power plant on the moon by EOY 2040?
Manifold MarketsLouisiana enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketOklahoma enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRules
Grok likes the idea: https://x.com/i/grok/share/6otnrhQyi5w5ras6YOK5vtq7n
- Update 2025-12-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Data centers in orbit around the moon do NOT count - only data centers physically on the lunar surface will count toward the 1 GW threshold.
