Current community forecast
No 79%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJun 6, 26, 11:10 AM UTCDec 31, 66, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a rover from Earth land on the moon Europa by EOY 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a data center on the planet Venus by 2127?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRules
Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.
- Tasks could be local, such as orchestrating many remote robots across the moon.
- Designs limited to only some kinds of tasks, hindering flexible usage as expected on Earth, would strain the definition.
Open markets
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.6pt9%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.7M
- 24h Vol
- $106.4K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No54.5%
- Yes45.5%
- Total Vol
- $118.3K
- 24h Vol
- $30.3K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic-0.6pt58.8%
- SpaceX+0.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI-0.1pt2.1%
+9 more outcomes
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt16.7%
- Google+0.3pt7.8%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 more outcomes
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066? resolve?
- Will there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2066.
- How is Will there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Data center: a facility designed to produce surplus compute or data storage and retrieval for arbitrary tasks.