Current implied probability
Above 170 16%-1.0%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$442.2
Liquidity
$204.5K
High liquidityBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
5.6%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Above 17016%
Volume trend
$442Jul 225d of dataJul 26
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If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 160 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.