KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 120 97%+1.0ptLeader of 10 outcomes
Market quality
73 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.4K
Liquidity
$229.6K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Dec 9, 25, 3:00 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will occur in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many SpaceX launches in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
PolymarketHow many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiHow many Starship launches will reach space in 2026?
KalshiRules
If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 145 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX has more than 160 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $636.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.2%
- Before March 202717.1%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.3%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 more outcomes
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Above 120 at 97% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? resolve?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.