KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 120 · —
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Stored price
Above 140 75%Market line of 10 lines
Above 140 75%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$625.3
Open interest
$263.7K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 120Spread
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Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jul 6, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Above 120
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
Manifold MarketsHow many Falcon 9/Heavy launches will SpaceX conduct in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 120
- If SpaceX has more than 120 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 140
- If SpaceX has more than 140 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 145
- If SpaceX has more than 145 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 150
- If SpaceX has more than 150 launches in Dec 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 160
- If SpaceX has more than 160 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 170
- If SpaceX has more than 170 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 190
- If SpaceX has more than 190 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 180
- If SpaceX has more than 180 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 200
- If SpaceX has more than 200 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.
- Above 210
- If SpaceX has more than 210 launches in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FAA is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 6.3b.