Current implied probability
Anthropic 70%Leader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
89 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$10.7K
Liquidity
$129.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jul 20, 26, 11:08 PMAug 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Anthropic70%
Volume trend
$10.7kJul 216d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.