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Current community forecast
20 92.9%+0.1ptLeader of 12 outcomes
20 92.9%+0.1ptForecasters
114
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.9 pts
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJun 8, 24, 1:42 PM UTCJul 2, 27, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will a Starship booster first relaunch in under 24hrs?
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Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRules
Both must be on solid ground or a landing ship, mostly intact, and stationary, on the same flight.
- Starship must have flown to over 100 km on that flight.
- For details, this question will use the same criteria as these:
- @/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-spaceflown-stars
- @/chrisjbillington/will-spacex-land-a-super-heavy-boos
- @/EvanDaniel/which-happens-first-starship-superh
