KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 77.5%
Yes 77.5%Market quality
54 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$101.3
Open interest
$4.8K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Dec 22, 25, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before we discover alien life?
Manifold MarketsRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space Studies
- The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for 2026, or 10:00 AM ET April 01, 2027
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.