Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 1:14 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 89.4%
Yes 89.4%Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleDec 29, 23, 2:42 PM UTCMar 1, 35, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a human walk on the moon again before American Dad ends?
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if a human ventures onto the surface of the Moon before January 1st 2035 (and after 2023)
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-97ccfb75fd6d
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-2461b12d959d
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again-7178da6928ae
- @/RemNi/will-a-human-venture-again-onto-the-5dd99d5a1e48
