Will we discover alien life before 2030?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will we discover alien life before 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 92% as of October 26, 2026.

When does Will we discover alien life before 2030? resolve?

Will we discover alien life before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2030.

How is Will we discover alien life before 2030? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if we discover strong evidence of past or present extra-terrestrial life before January 1st 2030.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No-0.1pt98%
• Yes+0.1pt2%

Total Vol

$18.7M

24h Vol

$26.6K

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

• No85.5%
• Yes-1.0pt14.5%

Total Vol

$423K

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34+1.7pt95%
• 35 to 49-0.6pt3%
• 50 or more-0.6pt2%

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-1.0pt6%
• Before December 1, 2026+2.0pt3.5%
• Before November 1, 2026

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No96.5%
• Yes3.5%

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$2.5K

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑4.75k98%
• ↑5k98%
• ↑5.5k-5.1pt90%

+13 more outcomes

Total Vol

$8.2M

• Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
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• Measles cases in 2026?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
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• Next pandemic
• New pandemic in 2026?
• Plague case in US by December 31?