How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
5.0 pts (24h)Health & MedicineScienceYearly2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 7k · —
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Stored price
Above 9k 69%Market line of 5 lines
Above 9k 69%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$25.6
Open interest
$11.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 7kSpread
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Market data
Updated 36 minutes ago
May 14, 26, 2:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 7k
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 7k
- If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 7000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 8k
- If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 8000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 9k
- If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 9000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 10k
- If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 10000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 11k
- If the total number of tuberculosis disease cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 11000, then the market resolves to Yes.