Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?
9.0 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineWeather1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
December 31 5%Leader of 4 outcomes
December 31 5%Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$742.9
Liquidity
$909.3
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-9.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 3:58 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
August 30Lost
June 30Lost
October 31Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · December 31
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump declares election interference national emergency by which date?
PolymarketTrump declares a national emergency by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItWill a wild animal be infected with the New World screwworm in the US, before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
- The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.