PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
December 31 52%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
28 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3.1
Liquidity
$301.7
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 65.0%
Spread
983.3%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 4:38 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
December 3152%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
- The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.