Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?
4.5 pts (24h)US PoliticsOne-OffHealth & MedicineWeather3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 46%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$240.1
Low liquidityComments
0
7d Change
-26.9 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jun 10, 26, 3:58 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm.
- The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.