Will Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElectionChina2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 66.6%
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37
Question type
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 26, 8:17 PM UTCNov 6, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/26/trump-elections-executive-order-activists/
- Pro-Trump activists who say they are in coordination with the White House are circulating a 17-page draft executive order that claims China interfered in the 2020 election as a basis to declare a national emergency that would unlock extraordinary presidential power over voting.
- Resolves based on whether a national emergency is declared by Trump (or by a future president) that, according to major news media, relates to elections or voting, before the 2028 election.
