Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61.5%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 26, 6:26 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI?
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KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
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KalshiRules
List of national emergencies in the United States - Wikipedia
- This market resolves NO if it has not happened and Trump leaves office.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? resolve?
- Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? is scheduled to resolve on January 20, 2029.
- How is Will Trump declare a national emergency related to AI? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: List of national emergencies in the United States - Wikipedia