Trump declares election interference national emergency by which date?
One-OffPoliticsUS PoliticsElection2mo
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Feb 26, 26, 9:31 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).
- The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency.
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference.