PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:44 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
November 30 15%
November 30 15%Market quality
20 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$394.4
Liquidity
$2K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$335.5
Bid / Ask
— / —
December 31Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleOct 28, 26, 9:24 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · December 31
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Trump declares election interference national emergency by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump declare a national emergency?
KalshiWill Trump declare a national emergency before the midterms?
Manifold MarketsScrewworm National Emergency declared by which date?
PolymarketWill Trump declare a national emergency by year-end?
PredictItTrump declares nationwide martial law?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency pursuant to the National Emergencies Act between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.).
- Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, announcements of an intention to declare a national emergency, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that do not declare a national emergency will not qualify.
- Renewals, continuations, or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify.
- Amendments to or expansions of previously existing national emergencies will also not qualify unless they formally declare a new national emergency.