PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
↑4.75k · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
↑4.75k 98%Leader of 16 outcomes
↑4.75k 98%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$18.2K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$72.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
↑4.75kSpread
—
Comments
0
7d Change
-4.5 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Dec 1, 25, 5:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
↑1kWon
↑2kWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑3.5kWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑3kWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑4.5kWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑4kWon
Before close: 100% ·
↑500Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · ↑4.75k
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?
PolymarketWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the CDC report more measles cases in 2027 than 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
- If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
- Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Also available on Futuur — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 99%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 · x ≥ 250 100%