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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Health & Medicine
  3. Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

1.0% (24h)Health & MedicineOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
↑1k
↑1k 100%+0.1%
Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$547.1

Liquidity

$22.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

19.0% / 21.0%

Spread

10.5%

Wide spread
7d Change

+3.5%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Dec 1, 25, 6:01 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

↑3k85%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Measles cases in 2026?

Measles cases in 2026?

6mo
Above 3000
Above 3000
89%
Above 10000
Above 10000
-1.0%7%
Above 4000
Above 4000
+1.0%35%

+5 more outcomes

71 • Medium qualityTight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$7.1K
24h Vol$2.9
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
  • If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
  • Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S.
  • State agencies or other sources.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,723.10+1.67%EthereumETH$1,654.79+0.91%SolanaSOL$64.99+0.74%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.70%XRPXRP$1.11-0.23%BNBBNB$597.79+1.53%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
  • If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
  • Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S.
  • State agencies or other sources.