PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
↑3.5k 100%+0.5ptLeader of 12 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$581.7
Liquidity
$21.7K
Medium liquiditySpread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+1.7 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Dec 1, 25, 5:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill the CDC report twice as many measles cases in 2026 as 2025?
Manifold MarketsTotal cases of measles reported in US during 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
KalshiIn which years will the CDC report more measles cases in the US than 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time.
- If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
- Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Measles cases in 2026? · Above 3000 99%
- Also available on Futuur — Measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · 3,000 or more 97%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026 · x ≥ 250 100%
Open markets
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Total Vol
- $18.1M
- 24h Vol
- $35.4K
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Total Vol
- $759.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.1K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Total Vol
- $1.9M
- 24h Vol
- $3.4K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $3.2K
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $1.6K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Total Vol
- $97.8K
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Anitocabtagene Autoleucel (anito-cel) by Gilead Sciences (in 2026)
- Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. in 2026??
- Polymarket prices ↑3.5k at 100% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? resolve?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026 according to the CDC case counter between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Kalshi, Futuur, Manifold Markets.