PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
June 30, 2027 · —
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Stored reference
June 30, 2027 7%
June 30, 2027 7%Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.1K
Liquidity
$62.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$10.8K
Bid / Ask
— / —
June 30, 2027Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Sep 19, 26, 12:27 AM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · June 30, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
In December of 2026, will Wikipedia ascribe higher credence to the lab leak theory than it did in December of 2023?
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Anthropic lab leak by...? · June 30, 2027 7%
