Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%Leader of 8 outcomes
Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%Forecasters
39
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleDec 25, 23, 2:25 PM UTCJan 2, 40, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
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Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRules
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
