Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
By end of 2050 36.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
By end of 2050 36.4%Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleJan 21, 24, 3:30 AM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsCovid a lab leak?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRules
Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.
- Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
- (In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)
