PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 94.1%
No 94.1%Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$19.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 7:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Confirmed pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?
PolymarketWill the Irkutsk Anti-Plague institute incident turn into an outbreak?
Manifold MarketsWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiWill a case linked to the Irkutsk plague be reported outside Irkutsk Oblast by November 1?
Manifold MarketsPlague declared public health emergency by which date?
PolymarketNew pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic".
- A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.