Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
4.0 pts (24h)Health & MedicineOne-OffPoliticsUS Politics1mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Before 2028 · —
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Stored price
Before 2028 23%
Before 2028 23%Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$493.8
Open interest
$37.3K
High open interestBid / Ask
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Before 2028Spread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Dec 8, 25, 10:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
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Venue terms
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Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before 2028
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Manifold MarketsRules
If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- Clarification (11/14/25): Any extension that continues the enhanced premium tax credits past this year qualifies for a Yes resolution, regardless of modifications to the extension's structure. This would include extensions that reduce the subsidy amounts or modify eligibility criteria. An extension of the credits for any length of time beyond the current expiration date is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
Rules for each outcome
- Before 2028
- If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before 2027
- If legislation extending or reinstating (if expired) enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.